18 February 2016

2-3-4: A “bi”-partisan 3-step solution to a 4-way race in 2016

Background

Despite the evidence so far in this election that the American People are rejecting “politics as usual,” pundits, politicians, elections officials, political parties, etc. continue to live under the outdated framework of a two-party paradigm, the “left” versus the “right.”  Already, the People see how the two-party infrastructure has relied upon contrast, conflict, and campaigns to sustain a government stalemate, in lieu of compromise, governability, and sustainability.  Despite its perverse effects in disproportionally empowering corporate interests in the US political process, the “Citizens United” decision by the US Supreme Court had the unspoken benefit of unshackling our political system from the two political party establishments.  Money now flows freely between super-PAC’s, candidate PAC’s, industry advocacy groups, unions, etc. without the intervention and influence customary to the two major political parties. 

This has opened up the domain of the political space from a line between a “left” and a “right” side, to a more complex and multi-dimensional space.  Is it rightly “conservative” to advocate for government intervention in intimate family decisions such as marriage and childbearing?  Is it rightly “progressive” to rely on cheap imports to enable cost effective deployment of clean-energy solutions that can compete with conventional, fossil fuel technologies?

Trump has upended the convention of the Republican Party as we know it.  Furthermore, in the likely event that moderates coalesce around a “reasonable” nominee like Kasich or Jeb Bush, Trump will likely defect to wage an independent campaign.  This would present a grave potential for “spoiler effect,” effectively splitting the votes among the base.  Many would argue that this amounts to a tyrannical strategic move that would hand the election over to the unified opposition.

However, the rise of Bernie Sanders against the favored frontrunner Hillary Clinton challenges this calculus.  With Trump’s independent campaign in play, no matter who wins the Democratic nomination, there is the unique opportunity here to wage a third-party campaign oriented to the “left,” without the spoiler effect concern that typically prevents such strategic action.  If both Bernie and Hillary ran –- one as the official Democratic nominee and the other as an additional third-party bid in addition to Trump’s – this offers a 4-way race in the general election.

This election's calculus yields more than 2 possible answers.

To prevent the further chaos and division that such a general election dynamic may present, I would like to propose 3 easy steps to reforming American elections.  These three steps would benefit all voting citizens of the US (whether they identify as “left” or “right”):

  1. Automate the drawing of electoral district boundaries.
  2.  Establish instant runoff voting as a means to foster third-party development and to give people more choice
  3. End the Electoral College.


Automate the drawing of electoral district boundaries.

In today’s data-driven age, when it’s easier than ever to compile data from devices and social networks to pinpoint who lives where within a few meters, why haven’t we figured out a way to institutionalize an automated process for drawing electoral district boundaries?  Thanks to institutionalized gerrymandering, our democracy has devolved to the point in which voters no longer select their politicians; rather, politicians select their voters.  In the meantime, optimization software has already been developed that will draw district boundaries, even while respecting as best as it can local boundaries defined by townships, cities, counties, etc. (think of it as a “snap- to-grid” function for the electoral map).  It does this through an algorithm whose logic can be made accessible to the public, so as to prevent any attempt at quietly hijacking the procedural steps for any one entity’s benefit.  I propose we banish all factors that have traditionally been used to administer electoral district boundaries (yes, this does include minority and other demographically defined districts), and replace it with a computer process that is simple to understand.  It will save lots of money, and it will eliminate the human and special interest element altogether from this mapmaking equation.  Plus, the maps will be prettier.



[Source: Brian Olson, “2010 Redistricting Result” website: http://bdistricting.com/]

Instant runoff voting

Allow for voters to select multiple candidates, in ranked fashion, for each position.  One way to implement this is the instant runoff election.  In this process, the ballots are collected, and the votes tallied.  With these totals, an iterative counting method is used in which the first candidate to receive a majority of the votes is declared the winner.  With this method, first, the #1 selection from each voter is counted and totaled.  If a candidate receives more #1 selections than 50% of the total number of voters, then they win.  If not, then the last-place candidate is eliminated from the race.  If you voted for the loser candidate, I’m sorry.  But the candidate you chose for your #2 selection (if you chose one at all) will now gain a vote from your ballot.  This occurs for all ballots who voted the loser #1.  If a candidate receives enough of those “loser runner-up votes” to put their total above 50%, then they win.  If not, then this process repeats, traversing up the ladder of remaining last-place candidates until somebody finally surpasses the 50% mark.  The important thing to note here is that, at no point, was there a “wasted vote” doomed to “not count.”  Additionally, this system does not penalize voters who may only want to vote for one candidate.  Each voter still counts equally.


Because an instant runoff ballot would allow individual voters to vote for multiple candidates, it does not require the voter to choose “the lesser of two evils” in their candidate choice.  In many cases, especially in a close general election under the present-day two-party system, voters might be compelled to vote for their preferred mainstream candidate instead of a candidate from a similar minor party, with whom they may share more views in common.  This happened in the 2000 election, when many Green Party voters faced the choice of whether to vote for Ralph Nader or to vote for Al Gore out of fear of a George Bush win under the “spoiler effect.”  In fact, it’s still unclear as to the extent of this effect on the razor-thin margins between Gore and Bush.

Wouldn’t it be nice if the Tea Party didn’t have to fight with the Republicans, but could actually work alongside each other, as one would expect with folks with similar philosophies?  Similarly, wouldn’t it be nice if similar conflicts didn’t have to exist between environmental progressives and labor unions within the Democratic party?  A few simple but fundamental electoral reforms, like those outlined above, could make this reality.  And if we could eliminate issues related to primaries that are skewed by low overall voter turnout, then hey, we can save some more money by eliminating primaries altogether, since minor party candidates can now be represented in a big-tent general election with ranked ballot choices.

In Conclusion

I would recommend that folks from both sides work together on framing and implementing these electoral reforms, with the dual purpose of allowing more diversity in our political discourse, but without the divisiveness and destructive rhetoric that has characterized this election so far.

I'm Mike George, I am a maverick, and I approve this message.

31 January 2016

Guns & Freedom

In the good ol' days, owning a gun was seen as a noble sign of individual responsibility and the protection of your hard-earned property and family. Now, any two-cent redneck buys a gun from Wal-Mart on their way to the nearest Donald Trump rally to show off their goods to those who enable such behavior.

The flamboyence of such a perverted lifestyle choice needs to be stopped at once. It's not natural, and it's obviously not what God designed men to do. Quit waving around your unnatural abomination, enabled by an entire underground horde of like-minded sinners throughout the GREATEST COUNTRY ON EARTH, producing and marketing these disgusting products, that we, as God-loving people, are forced to explain to our children.
We don't take kindly to having our tranquil communities interrupted by a bunch of flaming gun owners, trying to corrupt our children's values with their perverted ways. Tell these gun blowhards that they can move back to Cabela's or Alabama or wherever, and quit tainting our communities with these NRA queers.

17 January 2016

trump-burn


Dissatisfaction at the two-party duopoly in Washington, fed by a bipartisan-media-controlled two-party state that presently strangles our country and works to amplify this stalemate for the interest of readership and corporate profit.

I adore Hillary; it's a shame that Hillary has unwittingly become part of that status quo, because her stellar resume would otherwise seal the deal with the American public. But Bernie Sanders is far more reflective of the issues that people (including many progressives) have yearned for, with little to show for from the Democratic establishment.

We'll see if Hillary can survive this anti-duopoly up-swelling better than the incumbent Republicans on their side. So far, she's maneuvering much more gracefully than those candidates.

unsure emoticon
Here's a succinct 3-step proposal for any candidate to propose, in order to address the dynamic described above:

1. End the electoral college.
2. Automate allocation of districts to end gerrymandering.
3. End first-past-the-past voting; replace with ranked-ballot (instant runoff) elections.

This would enable the multifaceted conversation that's going on around the country, thanks to us having more than two choices, without fracturing the large tent of the mainstream parties. Think if we had a system that rewarded candidates and parties for offering choice, rather than punish them with a system that stokes division rather than drive collaboration.

Whatever your party affiliation, the 3 steps outlined would likely benefit your candidate, but without driving the wedge that the "other guys" are likely trying to exploit. When our politics are so sorely constrained by gamesmanship, it's time to shake up the game, and change the rules a little bit.

19 September 2014

3rd parties for the 3rd millennium

There are more worthwhile flavors than two.
There needs to be a political party devoted exclusively to the enabling of minor parties (i.e. "third parties") in the United States. It is illogical that there can be so much discontent in popular opinion towards all branches of government, without some sort of emergence of an alternative choice. As in business, there must be spirited and dynamic competition. Perhaps it's time for a political party that massive numbers of Americans can agree on, focused exclusively on abolishing the bipartisan-media-controlled two-party state that presently strangles our country, in favor of a more democratic system that is more representative of the diversity and off-script debate that "We The People" deserve.

05 September 2014

Ego

An ego is something to be suppressed and harnessed, not whored around like some kite.

22 August 2014

阿嬷

My grandmother died last week. My mother called me last week to inform me of this.  I wish I had more opportunities to get to know her.  We had pretty significant geographic, linguistic, and cultural barriers between us.  But I'm always at least curious as to what amount of wisdom might have been gained if only I had taken more opportunity to see her.  It certainly bumps up the necessity for me to arrange for a Taiwan trip to see my family.  Hopefully, one will occur this coming February (2015).

14 June 2014

Foreign policy of expectations


The US continues to scale back its conventional foreign policy might from various parts of the world in order to turn its resources and focus back onto its own people and infrastructure.  As the most powerful military power in the world, the presence of US troops throughout the world has had the stabilizing effect of deterring territorial encroachments by large powers vying for expansion for land and resources.  Now that austerity measures have combined with the fatigue of the American public for entering more remote wars throughout the world, a vacuum has opened up in various parts of the world that had become accustomed to the stability provided by the presence of the US military.

President Obama faces the delicate task of withdrawing US commitments abroad in order to rein back its financial commitments and refocus on domestic issues of infrastructure, healthcare, energy/environmental policy.  As this occurs, the extent of how nations have relied upon the US to effectively subsidize the West's own security blanket is becoming clearer.  Other nations will need to step up in order to protect not only their strategic interests throughout the world but even their own territorial integrity, as has been recently experienced in Ukraine.  The security apparatus required to sustain a stable global economy is not free.  The march to globalization that occurred during the late 20th Century had always occurred under the security blanket of US military domination.  As our global regime shifts towards a multi-polar world, nations will have to rely on each other for military commitments, rather than simply look to the United States, as they’ve become so accustomed to doing.  A multi-polar world would likely change the topology of economic interconnection from a single global economy to a network of regional economies under various smaller spheres of influence.  How the markets will respond to the fracturing of the global economy into pieces has yet to be determined.  One can expect large transfers of wealth towards regions that are deemed “safe” for investment.  The appearance of safety and stability will become a more pronounced issue when it comes to defining winners and losers for a militarily divided global economy.

The US has been long chastised for its imperialistic tendencies.  Recent developments in domestic energy production and the slow return of domestic manufacturing capabilities allow the US to rely less and less on the rest of the world to sustain its domestic economy.  It’s become too costly and unpredictable to police the world.  As the US pulls out of the rest of the world, the question we should be asking is who is going to step up in the absence of US military might.